CAM Seminar

February 28, 2018

Folashade B. Agusto, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Title: Ebola Transmission Dynamics with Media Effects

Abstract: In this study we develop a system of ordinary differential equations to model the Ebola virus which incorporate sexual transmission, isolation, media effects and limited health-care infrastructure in terms of limited hospital beds. The model is locally stable when the reproduction number is less than unity and unstable otherwise. Our result shows that as media effect increases, the number of susceptible and isolated individuals increases, ultimately decreasing the total number of infections in the community. Our results further show that media reporting of the disease lead to fewer deaths among the populace. Thus, our results indicate the potential positive impact of media on reducing the overall spread of Ebola in communities particularly those with limited resources. Our results also show that with improved infrastructure more infected can be isolated and treated.

CAM Seminar Spring 2018